All graphs through 2020-04-21. Data from JHU.
US Daily Deaths show a brief downturn but rise again on the 21st. I suspect the downturn is New York, with other states picking up the slack.
WA Daily Deaths had an interesting four day downturn from 4-11 to 4-15 and then bumped back up. I wonder what happened 2-3 weeks before the 16th or so? Regardless of the noisiness of the data, We have not reached up to the 30 deaths of 4-09 during the 12 days since. We appear to be over the hump in WA state.
WA Daily cases don't show quite a clear a picture. If deaths are a 2-3 week trailing indicator, the deaths of 4-09 were cases found about 3-19 to 3-26. But the cases peak appears somewhere in the range of 4-02 to 4-09, so we should see a death peak somewhere in the range 4-16 to 4-30.
I guess we will see.
Comments